Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for UTA Arad had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a UTA Arad win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.