Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Botosani had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Botosani win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.