Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.