Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-23s win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 38.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.98%) and 1-0 (4.59%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland Under-23s in this match.
