Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
