Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-23s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-23s |
| 30.04% | 23.34% | 46.61% |
| Both teams to score 61.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% | 39.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% | 62.24% |
| Sunderland Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% | 25.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Crystal Palace Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% | 17.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% | 47.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-23s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% 1-0 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-1 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.68% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.97% Total : 46.61% |


