Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Sunderland Under-23s win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 17.49% | 19.47% | 63.03% |
| Both teams to score 59.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.35% | 35.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.29% | 57.71% |
| Sunderland Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% | 70.27% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.19% | 10.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.14% | 34.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 4.8% 1-0 @ 3.96% 2-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.88% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.47% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 7.27% 0-3 @ 6.67% 1-4 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 3.96% 0-4 @ 3.71% 2-4 @ 2.2% 1-5 @ 1.8% 0-5 @ 1.65% 2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.85% Total : 63.03% |


