Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
