Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 58.26%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 58.26% | 20.69% | 21.05% |
| Both teams to score 61.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.2% | 35.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.12% | 57.89% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% | 12.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.27% | 37.73% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% | 30.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% | 66.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 6.86% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.62% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.41% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 3.66% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 5.54% 0-1 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.89% Total : 21.05% |


