Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley Under-23s would win this match.
