Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Southampton Under-23s win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 59.58% | 20.34% | 20.08% |
| Both teams to score 61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Birmingham City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% | 11.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.22% | 36.78% |
| Southampton Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% | 30.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% | 67.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 6.99% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.75% 4-0 @ 3.2% 4-2 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.58% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-1 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 20.08% |


