Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Southampton Under-23s win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City Under-23s would win this match.
