Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s | Draw | Birmingham City Under-23s |
| 49.19% | 23.91% | 26.91% |
| Both teams to score 57.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.44% | 44.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% | 66.93% |
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% | 18.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% | 49.24% |
| Birmingham City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s | Draw | Birmingham City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.19% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.1% Total : 26.91% |


