Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
