Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
