NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
4 - 2
Dungannon

Stafford (13'), Fitzpatrick (22', 52'), Campbell (61')
O'Connor (28'), Beggs (37'), Birney (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mayse (20'), McBrien (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
51.57%22.31%26.12%
Both teams to score 61.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.19%37.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93%60.06%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14%14.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81%43.19%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8%27.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38%62.61%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 51.57%
    Dungannon Swifts 26.12%
    Draw 22.31%
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.96%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-1 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.49%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.12%