Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.39%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
