National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Alfreton Town

Curzon Ashton
1 - 2
Alfreton

Hobson (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hobson (1'), Hackford (46')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
37.51%26.44%36.04%
Both teams to score 52.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93%52.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2%73.79%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71%62.29%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19%27.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6%63.39%
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 37.51%
    Alfreton Town 36.04%
    Draw 26.43%
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.04%