Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 55.92% | 25.15% | 18.93% |
| Both teams to score 43.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.73% | 57.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.89% | 78.11% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% | 20.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% | 52.96% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% | 44.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.24% | 80.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.9% 4-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.37% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.93% |