Conference League
Gameweek
1
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Albian Ajeti
25'
-
Renato Steffen
53'
-
Lukas Mai
55'
-
Dereck Moncada
84'
-
Anto Grgic
89'
-
Timi Max Elsnik
32'
-
Vasilije Kostov
33'
-
Rade Krunic
67'
-
Stefan Gudelj
82'
-
Mahmudu Bajo
88'
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Albert Riera
89'
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Matej Gashtarov
90'+4'
Lugano vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
Lugano
31.6%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
21.92%
Red Star Belgrade
46.48%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
61.2%
Goals
Over 1.5
83.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
16.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
64.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
35.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
41.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
58.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
26.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
73.19%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
Lugano
21.96%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
40.11%
▲
(+0.09)
Red Star Belgrade
37.93%
▼
(-0.07)
Team To Score First
Lugano
34.99%
▲
(+0.17)
No Goal
4.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Red Star Belgrade
60.95%
▼
(-0.15)
Corners
Over 8
54.66%
▼
(-0.30)
Equal 8
11.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
33.84%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 9
43.22%
▼
(-0.29)
Equal 9
11.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
45.34%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 10.5
32.76%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 10.5
67.24%
▲
(+0.26)
Lugano Goals
Over 1.5
39.38%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
60.62%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
18.25%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
81.75%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
6.91%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
93.09%
▼
(-0.04)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5
78.19%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
21.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
50.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
49.25%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
26.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
73.59%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
11.14%
Under 3.5
88.86%
Score analysis
Lugano
31.59%
Draw
21.92%
Red Star Belgrade
46.48%
Lugano
2-1
@
7.21%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.59%
1-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.59%
Draw
1-1
@
9.15%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.92%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.92%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2
@
9.04%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 4.1%
Other @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 46.48%
0-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 4.1%
Other @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 46.48%