Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.