Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Niort had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.