Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
