Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
