Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
| 27.56% | 26.52% | 45.92% |
| Both teams to score 49.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% | 54.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% | 76.21% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% | 35.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% | 71.87% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% | 23.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% | 58.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.92% |