Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.