Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.