Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.