Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.