Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.