Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.