Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.