Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 56.98%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.