Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.