Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.