Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.