Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gaziantep in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gaziantep.