Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Prague in this match.