Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepsi win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sepsi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sepsi would win this match.