Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepsi win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for UTA Arad had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sepsi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a UTA Arad win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sepsi in this match.