Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.