Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.