Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.