Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.