Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Lisen had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lisen win was 0-1 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.