Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oita Trinita would win this match.
