J1 League Gameweek 16
May 27, 2021 11.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patric 27' goal
  • Genta Miura 65' yellowcard
  • Takashi Usami 72' goal
  • Kazunari Ichimi 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takeru Kishimoto 6'
  • goal Ken Iwao 65'

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2021 11.00am
FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Patric

Tokushima Vortis

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2021 10.00am
Tokushima Vortis 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Yuki Kakita

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 41.96%
Draw 27.54%
Tokushima Vortis 30.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.05%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.59%
Under 2.5 57.41%
Over 3.5 21.78%
Under 3.5 78.22%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.01%
Under 0.5 26.99%
Over 1.5 37.66%
Under 1.5 62.34%

Tokushima Vortis Goals

Over 0.5 65.82%
Under 0.5 34.18%
Over 1.5 29.13%
Under 1.5 70.87%

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 41.96%
Draw 27.53%
Tokushima Vortis 30.5%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.53%
Tokushima Vortis
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.5%