Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.