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Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax

Heerenveen
1 - 2
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')

Preview: Heerenveen vs. Ajax - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ajax go in search of a seventh consecutive win in all competitions as the Eredivisie leaders travel to the Abe Lenstra Stadion to square off against Heerenveen on Sunday.

The hosts have been solid on home turf of late, and are yet to taste defeat in any of the last six league games on their own patch.


Match preview

Ajax manager Erik Ten Hag pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Ajax went one step closer to glory with a 5-0 thumping of ADO Den Haag in their last fixture before the international break.

First-half goals from Devyne Rensch, Brian Brobbey, Edson Alvarez, and Dusan Tadic put Erik ten Hag's men in the driving seat going into half time, before Davy Klaassen added a fifth goal early into the second period.

De Godenzonen have been near perfect since the turn of the year, only dropping points to PSV Eindhoven in their last 11 Eredivisie matches.

That run of form has seen them open up an 11-point lead at the top of the standings with a game in hand, and a 35th domestic crown is looking more and more inevitable as the weeks go by.

The league leaders' clash versus Heerenveen this weekend is the third time that the two sides will be going head-to-head against each other this season, with Sunday's visitors coming out on top in the previous two meetings by an aggregate score of 8-1.

Heerenveen were involved in a share of the spoils for the 10th time this term as they played out a dour 0-0 draw versus Twente last time out.

Johnny Jansen's men had their visitors' wasteful finishing to thank for coming away with a point in a game where they were opened up on multiple occasions.

With 34 points to their name from 27 matches, De Superfriezen are on course for a repeat of last season's tenth-place finish.

Next up for them is a clash against a side who have been victorious in all but three of the last 18 meetings dating back to 2013.

Heerenveen Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Heerenveen form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Ajax Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Ajax form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Lisandro Martinez warms up for Ajax on December 9, 2020© Reuters

Noussair Mazraoui sustained a head injury in mid-February versus Heracles, and he is yet to make his return to action.

Daley Blind is expected to sit the game out due to a knee problem which he sustained while on international duty with the Netherlands.

Sebastien Haller, Jurrien Timber, and Quinten Timber are all unavailable for the journey to Heerenveen due to illness.

Ulysses Llanez is the hosts' only absentee for the game as he works his way back to full fitness after missing the last three months of action through a muscle injury.

Henk Veerman has scored seven of his 13 league goals this season at home, and he poses the biggest threat to Ajax's quest for a fifth consecutive clean sheet.

Heerenveen possible starting lineup:
Mulder; Kaib, Bochniewicz, Dresevic, Floranus; Veerman, Halilovic, De Jong; Nygren, Van Bergen, Veerman

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Stekelenburg; Alvarez, Martinez, Tagliafico, Rensch; Gravenberch, Promes, Klaassen; Tadic, Haller, Brobbey


SM words green background

We say: Heerenveen 1-3 Ajax

Ajax have exhibited their superiority over Heerenveen on more than one occasion this season, and we are tipping the visitors to make it a hat-trick of victories over their hosts by the full-time whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax

Heerenveen
3.6%
Draw
3.6%
Ajax
92.9%
28
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1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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