Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Frsblog.png)
-
Zahi Ahmed
38'
-
Eliel Peretz
58'
-
Matan Baltaxa
58'
-
Itay Rotman
64'
-
Mohammed Abu Fani
15'
-
Strahinja Erakovic
45'+1'
-
Derrick Luckassen
80'
-
Nair Tiknizyan
84'
-
Muhammed Cham
85'
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fone-inch-productions-hapoel-be-er-sheva-manager-ran-kozuch-pictured-on-july-24-2025-6a6fcf2ab41b1852493115.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
30.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
22.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Red Star Belgrade
46.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
59.19%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
19.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
59.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
40.24%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
38.59%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
61.41%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
24.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
75.72%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
24.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
39.18%
▲
(+0.21)
Red Star Belgrade
36.3%
▼
(-0.22)
Team To Score First
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
38.03%
▼
(-0.08)
No Goal
5.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Red Star Belgrade
56.72%
▲
(+0.08)
Corners
Over 8
60.75%
▲
(+0.54)
Equal 8
10.63%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 8
28.62%
▼
(-0.58)
Over 9
49.68%
▲
(+0.47)
Equal 9
11.07%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 9
39.25%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 10.5
39.04%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 10.5
60.96%
▼
(-0.36)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 1.5
35.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
64.15%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
15.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
84.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
5.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
94.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5
76.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
49.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
50.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
25.13%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
74.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
10.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
89.4%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
30.85%
Draw
22.81%
Red Star Belgrade
46.37%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0
@
6.47%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.85%
2-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.85%
Draw
1-1
@
9.88%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.81%
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.81%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2
@
8.88%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.79%
Other @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 46.37%
0-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.79%
Other @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 46.37%