Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAS Giannina win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAS Giannina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAS Giannina would win this match.