Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.