Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ionikos win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ionikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ionikos would win this match.